Monday, 18 May 2015

Where is labour in ESG?

About six months ago I blogged about a PRI report on policy, and the limited mentions of labour issues compared to governance and environmental issues. My belief was and is that the RI community pays significantly less attention to labour issues than other ESG factors, and is more wary of them.

Today's report by Share Action on voting at AGMs in 2014 helps make the point again. If you look at page 15 you can see a comparison between asset managers' votes on three environmental resolutions, and the resolution filed at National Express relating to human capital management. The difference is very stark. I know there are mitigating factors - for example shareholder resolutions are much more commonplace at US companies, so it's seen as less controversial to support them. Nonetheless the picture is pretty clear.

There's a job for unions to do here. Our links with the RI industry need further development, we need to make sure our trustees are not allowing workers' capital to be voted against worker interests, and maybe we need to perform more of an educational role too: explaining why labour issues matter to company success.

But maybe it's one for the RI community to ponder too - why is the disparity so striking? Is this just an area where not enough thinking has been done, or evidence provided? Are RI people more likely to come from a sustainability background and/or lack knowledge of unions/labour issues? Is there greater internal pressures against supporting labour-oriented initiatives?

If people are our greatest asset it's surprising they don't get more investor support!

Friday, 15 May 2015

A new normal in executive pay

A quick plug for the excellent report by the High Pay Centre on performance-related pay, No Routine Riches. This is the outcome of a year-long project looking at performance pay, and how it can be reformed.

If you read the report you'll get a sense of real scepticism that performance-related pay is worth the effort. Aside from the significant fundamental problems it faces (does paying for performance really improve performance? do recipients want or value variable pay? etc) in practice it has been very hard to  attribute performance to individuals or to get non-gameable targets right. In practice variable pay has ballooned to offset the fact that it's not a 'sure thing', meaning that execs are taking an ever larger slice.

The HPC says we could simply do away with performance pay (which would be my preference - scale it right back), but in the medium term it suggests getting right of LTIPs, paying in cash rather than shares and banning golden hellos in most cases. If enacted these reforms would mark a significant shift in the centre of gravity in UK corporate governance.

For what it's worth, I've lost count of the number of investors and corporates who have told me that LTIPs are rubbish, but they think they are what is expected. We currently have an executive pay system in the UK that many people think is fundamentally flawed, but it continues because it's easier to deal with some familiar even if it doesn't work.

The system is rotten - it's time to kick it over.

Monday, 11 May 2015

Company responses to high shareholder votes against exec pay

As I've blogged previously, the new version of the UK Corporate Governance Code requires companies to make a statement in response to large votes against them. This was introduced due to concerns that companies were treating near misses on exec pay votes as "wins" and carrying on as before.

In the past week or so we've already have three pretty chunky votes against exec pay at BBA, Man Group and Ladbrokes. So how have they responded? Here are their respective blurbs issued alongside their AGM results.

BBA:
The Board is disappointed to note that whilst the resolution to approve the Directors' Remuneration Report was passed with the requisite majority, there were a significant number of votes opposing the resolution and a significant number of votes withheld.  We have already engaged with certain shareholders to discuss their concerns relating to our Remuneration Report and we will continue to take appropriate steps through our ongoing contact with shareholders to ensure that we fully understand their concerns.
Man Group:

While the Board notes that there were a significant number of votes cast against Resolution 2 (approval of the new Directors' remuneration policy) and Resolution 3 (approval of the Directors' remuneration report), it has found that, as part of an extensive period of engagement with the Company's major shareholders ahead of the AGM, the majority of those shareholders with whom the policy proposals were discussed were supportive.
The changes to the remuneration policy approved by shareholders provide the Board with additional flexibility to reward any higher levels of future performance at an appropriate level, taking account of the competitive dynamic of the global hedge fund industry within which Man Group operates.  The vote on the remuneration policy is an enabling vote only and actual awards will continue to be determined by performance. The Board has demonstrated its disciplined and rigorous approach to remuneration decisions in the past and will maintain these standards in future. Shareholders will have the opportunity to express their views on the Board's judgement in applying the new policy to future reward decisions through ongoing consultation and ultimately through their vote on the Directors' remuneration report each year. We will continue our efforts to engage with our shareholders and take account of their views in the coming year.

Ladbrokes:
The Board notes the vote in respect of the Directors Remuneration Report. Ladbrokes has spoken with several shareholders about the termination arrangements for Richard Glynn where his contract required that any settlement had to be determined in line with UK damages principles.  The Remuneration Committee confirms that contracts of this type are not appropriate and termination arrangements for the current executive team, including Jim Mullen who was appointed CEO on 1 April 2015, are determined on payment in lieu of notice (PILON) principles in line with best practice.  The Remuneration Committee further notes that Jim Mullen was appointed on a lower salary and shorter notice period than the previous CEO.
So I think those translate roughly as "we'll keep talking to our shareholders", "we've talked to our shareholders and the ones that count agree with us, it's all good and anyway have a go again next year if you don't like it" and "fair cop, we won't do it again". Man Group looks to me to be least in line with the spirit of the Code.

UPDATE: actually I just realised that Ladbrokes was one of the companies whose previous behaviour was cited by a few people as a reason why there should be a requirement to respond to high votes. What they said in 2011 is a bit of a classic.

Sunday, 10 May 2015

A quarter of National Express shareholders revolt over labour rights

One of the things some people won't have noticed in the aftermath of the election is a very significant shareholder revolt at National Express over labour rights at its AGM last week.

A group of shareholders including LAPFF members had filed a resolution calling on the company to commission an independent review of practice in its US business Durham School Services. This was in response to ongoing allegations of anti-union activity, recently amplified by a report by two Labour MPs who flew to the US to have a look for themselves.

According to the company's RNS release, there was a 15.38% vote for the resolution, with abstentions taking the total not backing the board to over 19%. However, if you strip out the shares held by deputy chair Jorge Cosmen then the extent of the revolt amongst independent shareholders becomes clear. A chunky 18.5% voted for, with 5.5% abstaining, meaning that a quarter failed to back management.

This is very significant. My knowledge of shareholder activism at UK PLCs goes back to the late 1990s. I am certain this is the largest vote of its kind in this period. However, it is likely the largest shareholder vote against a UK company over labour issues, ever. 

National Express has managed something quite remarkable in sparking this scale of opposition. Let's see where it goes next.

Friday, 8 May 2015

What a mess

It's a lot worse than I thought.

I think the Labour result leaves us in a real mess. The lack of progress in England will strengthen the argument that Labour was pulling too far to the Left. I don't agree, but that is the claim that will be made. In contrast the wipeout in Scotland will be cited as proof that we didn't go far enough to the Left, as the SNP presented itself as the anti-austerity party.

The Lib Dems have done significantly worse than expected too, and their parliamentary party can now fit in a people carrier. But the UKIP vote held up, even if it didn't result in MPs this time. I fear this is a sign of things to come if we aren't careful. My personal view is that these two developments need to kept in mind when the inevitable arguments about where we go next take place. I'm not at all convinced that the 'centre ground' is where some people on the Right of Labour think.

For what it's worth, I thoughy John Gray's essay on Ed Miliband a couple of months back might prove to be a bit near to the mark. I share Ed's desire for a shift in direction, but my fear has been that there isn't the corresponding desire (yet?) for such a shift on the part of the electorate. John Gray's piece is very pessimistic about this, but pessimism of the intellect and optimism of the will and all that.

These bits in particular sound about right to me:
Labour risks an acute form of the voter alienation that affects all the mainstream parties. It is like other parties in drawing its leaders from a narrow and privileged social stratum: the metropolitan professional classes who can afford to live in good catchment areas or send their children to be educated privately and then support them through years of unpaid internships and think-tank positions. But the rise of this political class is a special vulnerability for a party that claims it speaks for working people. Labour’s problem is that it has only one Alan Johnson. Soon it will have none.
Contrary to Miliband’s Blairite critics, there is no way forward in trying to re­occupy the middle ground. In a time when mainstream politicians are objects of disgust and contempt, the middle ground (if it exists) is no longer a safe place to be. Voters want something different – hence the rise in support for parties of protest. 
Back to the drawing board.

Sunday, 3 May 2015

Right for the wrong reasons

The Right of the Labour Party has had it in for Ed Miliband since the day he was elected. Because their criticism of him encompasses some things a lot of people agree with, like his failure to connect with the public, it can seem like a 'pragmatic' view based on the 'realities' of Britain. But the Blairite bit of the party, whether it acknowledges it or not, has a quite rigid view of things and I think this leads them to misinterpret Labour's position. They have done during the current campaign and I believe they will do it after the result.

It should be pretty clear to anyone who reads the papers that Blairite commentators - who are over-represented in the media - have been significantly more sceptical about Labour's chances from the outset than many of the rest of us. Unless we think that they are able to interpret polling data better than others that in itself to me suggests a bias (and I accept I too am biased, though in the other direction). What will be interesting is what happens in response to the election result.

As the polls stand, I think Labour will end up behind the Tories on votes and seats, though if the polling is broadly accurate it might be relatively close on both. Labour will have gained both seats and vote share (and the Tories will have lost both) but may well still end up behind. And if that's the outcome it won't be the win we all hoped, and I have no doubt that Blairites will interpret this as evidence that Miliband's programme was flawed, too left-wing rather than pitched at the centre ground etc. So their pessimism will seemingly have been proven correct.

That's why it will be important to understand which votes and seats Labour won, and which it lost. Again, as it stands, Labour's major gains look to be coming in England, but these will be offset by catastrophic losses in Scotland. No-one in the commentariat, as far as I am aware, was predicting the probable meltdown in Scotland which will play such a significant part in Labour's results. If it was not occurring you could add several dozen seats to the Labour total and as a result I think this basically static election campaign would see Labour pretty safe (though probably still short of a majority). Ed would now be thinking about whether to go it alone as a minority Labour government or agree some deal with the Lib Dems.

But, of course, we can't just exclude Scotland. Those seats are going to be lost, and with them go the hopes of Labour having a solid route to Number 10. What is more, this is happening on Miliband's watch, so he must bear at least some responsibility for it. Therefore, for the Blairites to be correct in their overall analysis, presumably Scots are voting SNP rather than Labour because Ed Miliband's programme  is too left-wing, and Scottish Labour should have aimed more at the centre ground.

But that isn't happening. For starters Scots aren't shifting to the Tories or Lib Dems, they are switching to a party which (currently) dresses to the Left. The fact that Jim Murphy has become a born-again socialist and advocate of nationalising ScotRail is all the evidence you need that Scottish Labour sees a major problem in being seen as insufficiently Left.

And for what it's worth I think Labour's part in the Better Together campaign was pitched pretty much in at the centre ground. The main messages I got from watching Alistair Darling were that there was a big question mark over Scotland's use of the pound, and that a lot of major businesses would think about relocating. That isn't to say there wasn't a lot of passion about retaining the Union, but the main lines were about the negative consequences of voting Yes. It was all sensible, sober stuff, and Labour looked and sounded small c conservative.

None of this is to claim that the SNP surge is an inherently Left thing either. I don't understand Scottish politics very well but to me the SNP look like they will say anything to advance their primary objective of independence. Currently that means sounding Left, but if the wind changes so will they. But one thing I am quite confident in is that the SNP surge is not driven by aspirational middle class families who have been put off Labour because of the mansion tax or caps on energy prices.

So, the biggest factor currently driving Labour's likely failure to gain a clear win - the loss of Scottish seats - simply does not bear out the Blairite criticism of the programme under Ed's leadership.

Aside from the SNP, we will also see some form of UKIP surge driven partly by disaffected white working class voters who would have been Labour in the past. It is possible that UKIP manage to get into double figures and displace the Lib Dems as fourth party in terms of votes cast. It is striking that Blairites have tended to be the most sceptical about UKIP's prospects and have already declared them to have 'peaked' several times before they have gone on and notched up bigger wins.

Now it's quite possible that UKIP will under perform on Thursday, but they will be well up on 2010. And if we look at other European countries it seems quite possible to form a relatively stable radical Right vote drawing on formerly socialist/social democratic voters. At the risk of stating the obvious, this is not the centre ground either. In fact, punters place the Lib Dems almost smack bang in the middle. So if this is where elections are won it is surprising that 'centrists' could fall to fifth place behind UKIP. It looks to be the opposite of what the 'focus on the centre ground' approach would expect to happen.

Finally, as I've blogged before, I am very wary of the Blairite argument that Labour under Ed has become too "anti-business". I don't think there is enough of substance to justify this claim, and I worry about the inability of some to grasp that businesses don't always play with a straight bat when commenting on politics. Just because a 'business leader' says a policy is bad news doesn't mean it is a bad policy. And when you hear that former Labour voter telling you that this time it's the SNP, or UKIP, do we really think if Digby Jones had had warm words for the manifesto this would have made it any different?

The Tories have had a few cracks at getting businesses to 'speak out' in this election. To people on the Right of the party it appears to be self-evident that this is bad news for Labour. Personally I am not at all convinced it has done the Tories any good. Some polling suggests that there is a bigger danger in being seen as too close to business, rather than being seen as "anti business". So if lots of punters are wary about the influence of corporate interests on politics, what kind of message does a letter from a bunch of people in big business saying "we support this party" really send? It isn't obviously a good one.

Where does all that leave us? In a mess. British politics is continuing to fragment. It is possible that the combined Labour and Tory share nudges above where it was in 2010, but if so that will largely be about Lib Dem to Labour switchers. It will definitely be the case that the combined Labour, Tory and Liberal share will be down, and, more scarily, the combined Labour-Liberal total will likely be very low compared to previous elections.

These are big long-term challenges for Labour, and solving them is a job for much smarter people than I. But one thing I am sure of - Blairites have largely called it wrong for the past five years. If Ed falls short this week they will have got the result right, but for the wrong reasons. Therefore it is extremely important that Labour in general does not misinterpret the result.

Wednesday, 29 April 2015

National Express board losing shareholder support over labour rights?

Big news tonight - the FT has reported that the major proxy voting adviser ISS has recommended that shareholders vote FOR Resolution 22 at the National Express AGM next week. PIRC has also recommended a vote in favour.

Resolution 22 calls on the board to commission an independent review of practice in Durham School Services, its US business. This follows repeated complaints from employees about management interference with workplace rights.

To my knowledge, there have been six shareholder resolutions at UK companies in the past ten years that focused on labour rights in one way or another. I don't think ISS has previously recommended a vote for any of them, so this marks a significant shift.

Many large shareholders may share the ISS view that the review proposed in the resolution is not an onerous demand. They may also feel that the board has allowed this issue to drag on for long enough, and action needs to be taken to address it and then move on.

Anyway, it set things up nicely for next Wednesday's AGM.

Quick update: NAPF has made the National Express resolution one of the questions it suggests trustees could ask their asset managers about, see here. Published on 1st May by coincidence.